Tag Archives: Bayes’ Theorem

Bayesian Analysis of Craig Keener, “Otho: A Targeted Comparison”

Recently I received feedback from ancient historian Richard Carrier about my previous review of Craig Keener’s article–“Otho: A Targeted Comparison of Suetonius’ Biography and Tacitus’ History, with Implications for the Gospels’ Historical Reliability”–which is chapter 6 of Biographies and Jesus: What Does … Continue reading

Posted in Ancient Biography, Ancient Novel, Apologists, Classics, Guest Blogs, Historical Jesus, History, Philosophy, Reviews | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

New Civitas Humana Post on the Craig/Ehrman Debate about the Evidence for Jesus’ Resurrection

I’ve been eager to blog some new substantive content for a while now, but have unfortunately been delayed due to a variety of unforeseen personal and professional reasons. Over the last two days, however, I’ve managed managed to crank out … Continue reading

Posted in Apologists, Historical Jesus, Miracles, Philosophy, Resurrection, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Dialogue with Vincent Torley over the Probability of Jesus’ Resurrection

Yesterday I wrote an extended response to apologist Vincent Torley’s OP–“Evidence for the Resurrection”–which was discussed recently in a post on John Loftus’ blog. In his OP, Torley argues that there is about a 60-65% subjective probability that Jesus rose … Continue reading

Posted in Apologists, Historical Jesus, Historical Paul, History, Philosophy, Replies to Critics, Resurrection | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 24 Comments

History, Probability, and Miracles

One of the most common misconceptions about history is the idea that history *is* our past. This misconception is understandable, since when we are taught “history” in high school or even in college the courses provide an overview and summary of … Continue reading

Posted in History, Philosophy, Resurrection | Tagged , , , , , , , | 14 Comments